NIFTY
CONTINUED WITH ITS EXPECTED BULLISH
MOMENTUM BUT THE RISE WAS NOT AS SPECTACULAR AS WAS EXPECTED. NIFTY SPOT COULD
MAKE A DAY HIGH OF 5331 AND CLOSED AT 5322 HIGHER THAN THE HIGH OF FRIDAY WHICH
TECHNICALLY IS A BULLISH INDICATION FOR
TUESDAY. WHAT IS MORE IMPORTANT IS THAT THE PRICE ACTION OF MONDAY WAS A 7TH
NRB CANDLE AROUND THE DAILY PIVOT. TECHNICALLY A DECISIVE BREACH OF THE HIGH OF
THE 7TH NRB AT 5331 CAN SEE A SHARP UP MOVE & IN CASE THERE IS A
GAP UP OPENING ON TUESDAY THEN ONE CAN SEE MASSIVE SHORT COVERING TO PROPEL
NIFTY TOWARDS MUCH HIGHER LEVELS IN SPITE OF THE FACT THAT THE CURRENT WEEK
WILL END ON WEDNESDAY WITH HOLIDAYS ON THURSDAY & FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY
SATURDAY & SUNDAY.
FOR INTRADAY TRADING ON TUESDAY, THE OPENING WILL BE INFLUENCED BY EXTERNAL MARKETS. AS
EVERYTHING IS LOOKING BULLISH FOR INDIAN MARKETS NOW, ONE SHOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO FIND INDIAN MARKETS ARE SUPPRESSED ON TUESDAY WHERE AS REST OF THE ASIAN MARKETS ARE MADE TO MOVE UP. IN ANY CASE THE BULLISH
INDICATIONS GENERATED BY INDIAN MARKETS AFTER 5 CONSECUTIVE WEEKS OF FALLS HAS
TO TAKE EFFECT AND VERY STRONG UP MOVE
FOR INDIAN MARKET IS JUST WAITING TO BLAST OFF. INDIAN MARKETS HAVE BEEN THE
WORST PERFORMERS COMPARED TO MOST OF THE ASIAN AND OTHER BRICKS MARKETS IN
MARCH & THE SOLE REASON FOR IT IS THE GOOD NEWS IS WILLFULLY SUPPRESSED AND
VERY MINOR BAD ONES OR HIGHLY INSIGNIFICANT
NEWS IS BLOWN OUT OF PROPORTION TO GENERATE PANIC IN INDIAN MARKETS. TILL SUCH
TIME OUR OWN FINANCIAL CHANNELS CONTINUE WITH THIS NASTY HABIT FOR THEIR OWN
PERSONAL GAINS, NO GENUINE INDIAN INVESTOR WILL BE ABLE TO MAKE MONEY IN INDIAN
MARKETS.
IF ONE HAS A CLOSER LOOK AT THE DAILY EOD CHART OF SPOT NIFTY
ABOVE, ONE WILL NOTICE THAT THE CRITICAL INDICATOR SLOW STOCH AFTER HAVING BOTTOMED OUT HAS TURNED AROUND
AND HAS JUST JOTTED OUT OF THE OVERSOLD ZONE SUGGESTING MUCH MORE UP MOVE IN
STORE FOR NIFTY. THE +VE BULLISH DIVERGENCE IN STOCH CONFIRMS THIS VIEW THAT
ENCOURAGES INTRADAY TRADERS TO BOLDLY BUY THE INTRADAY DECLINES GENERATED
BY ADVERSE NEWS EVENTS DURING THE DAY. SIMILAR +VE DIVERGENCE IN MACD ALSO WILL
PUSH NIFTY TO MUCH HIGHER LEVELS AS CAN BE SEEN IN THE CHART ABOVE. THE RESISTANCE
LINE JOINING SWING HIGHS OF 5630, 5499 WILL ENCOUNTER NIFTY AROUND THE SPOT
LEVEL OF 5383 TO 5390 LEVELS. A DECISIVE BREACH AND SUSTAINING ABOVE THE RESISTANCE
LINE WILL SEE NIFTY SHOOTING UP LIKE A
MISSILE TOWARDS NEXT SWING HIGHS OF 5499 AND 5630 DURING THE MARKET FRIENDLY
MONTH OF APRIL.
THE MONSTROUS RED CANDLE OF 22ND MARCH HAS FORMED A 3
IN 1 OUTSIDE BAR AND A 1 IN 1 INSIDE BAR SET UP WITH HIGHS OF THE MOTHER CANDLE AROUND 5386. A BREACH OF
THIS HIGH AT 5386 WHICH FALLS AROUND THE RESISTANCE LINE COMING FROM 5630 &
5499 WILL SEE NIFTY SPOT EVEN SHOOTING PAST THESE TWO SWING HIGHS IN APRIL IT SELF.
THE BREACH OF THE RESISTANCE LINE WHICH ALSO IS THE UPPER SIDE OF THE RECTANGLE
AS WELL AS THE 2ND WAVE BULLISH FLAG AS CAN BE SEEN IN THE CHART
ABOVE WILL CONFIRM THAT THE MONSTER 3RD UP WAVE HAS STARTED FROM THE
MARCH EXPIRY DAY LOW OF 5136 . LAST WEEK NIFTY HAD FALLEN & BREACHED EACH
OF THE 20, 34, 50 & 200 EMAS AND ALSO THE 200 DMA. FROM FRIDAY NIFTY’S
METEORIC RISE HAS TAKEN IT ABOVE EACH OF THESE CRITICAL MOVING AVERAGES THAT SHOWS THE HIDDEN STRENGTH IN NIFTY TO
EVEN SURPASS THE 22ND FEB SWING HIGH OF 5630 IN QUICK TIME IN APRIL
AS INITIAL PART OF THE MEGA 3RD UP WAVE.
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